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New Orleans severe storms Monday night tornadoes

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New Orleans severe storms Monday night tornadoes


A strong storm system will move through Louisiana Monday night and bring a risk for damaging winds and tornadoes which is why Monday night is a WDSU First Warning Weather Alert Day.This storm system will have all the ingredients to bring a threat for wind gusts over 58 mph, heavy rain, cloud to ground lightning, small hail, and isolated tornadoes. The entire area is under a Level 2 out of 5 (slight risk) for possible severe weather, while a Level 3 (enhanced risk) for severe storms has been outlined just across the border from the Northshore in Mississippi and west into Northern Louisiana.SEVERE THREATS:The greatest threat will be from damaging winds over 58 mph. There is a 15% chance that a storm capable of producing such winds could occur within 25 miles of you. Farther north, its a 30% chance.There is also a chance of an isolated tornado or two. All of Southeast Louisiana is under a 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of you. Just across the border into Mississippi, it’s a 10% chance for a strong tornado or two. That’s tornadoes of EF-2 strength or higher. Winds of that variety could reach over 130 mph and cause considerable damage and pose a life threatening situation.Here’s how I rank the risk for severe threats across Southeast Louisiana on Monday night.STORM TIMING:At this time, storms look to affect much of Southeast Louisiana after sunset Monday night. Some high resolution data have the storms arriving in the evening hours, mainly after 6 pm.Other data have the storms reaching Southeast Louisiana well after midnight.Most of the data have been converging on a timeline that looks close to this:RAINFALL:What will be most beneficial will be the expected rainfall. While it will be heavy, and the storms will move relatively quick. It’s likely much of the area from New Orleans north will get at least 0.50″ of rain with some areas likely to get 1″-2″ or more.PREPARATION:The worst part of this scenario is the timing. The worst storms might reach the highest populated areas of Southeast Louisiana when we’re already in bed! That means I URGE you to have your smart devices set to receive audible alerts so you can be notified if there’s a tornado warning for your area!Stay with WDSU First Warning Weather for all the latest coverage and updates on this potentially dangerous situation!

A strong storm system will move through Louisiana Monday night and bring a risk for damaging winds and tornadoes which is why Monday night is a WDSU First Warning Weather Alert Day.

This storm system will have all the ingredients to bring a threat for wind gusts over 58 mph, heavy rain, cloud to ground lightning, small hail, and isolated tornadoes. The entire area is under a Level 2 out of 5 (slight risk) for possible severe weather, while a Level 3 (enhanced risk) for severe storms has been outlined just across the border from the Northshore in Mississippi and west into Northern Louisiana.

SEVERE THREATS:

The greatest threat will be from damaging winds over 58 mph. There is a 15% chance that a storm capable of producing such winds could occur within 25 miles of you. Farther north, its a 30% chance.

There is also a chance of an isolated tornado or two. All of Southeast Louisiana is under a 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of you. Just across the border into Mississippi, it’s a 10% chance for a strong tornado or two. That’s tornadoes of EF-2 strength or higher. Winds of that variety could reach over 130 mph and cause considerable damage and pose a life threatening situation.

Here’s how I rank the risk for severe threats across Southeast Louisiana on Monday night.

STORM TIMING:

At this time, storms look to affect much of Southeast Louisiana after sunset Monday night. Some high resolution data have the storms arriving in the evening hours, mainly after 6 pm.

Other data have the storms reaching Southeast Louisiana well after midnight.

Most of the data have been converging on a timeline that looks close to this:

RAINFALL:

What will be most beneficial will be the expected rainfall. While it will be heavy, and the storms will move relatively quick. It’s likely much of the area from New Orleans north will get at least 0.50″ of rain with some areas likely to get 1″-2″ or more.

PREPARATION:

The worst part of this scenario is the timing. The worst storms might reach the highest populated areas of Southeast Louisiana when we’re already in bed! That means I URGE you to have your smart devices set to receive audible alerts so you can be notified if there’s a tornado warning for your area!

Stay with WDSU First Warning Weather for all the latest coverage and updates on this potentially dangerous situation!



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